A good article that sees the future for what it will be – we often forget that we have nascently entered the “Information Age” which has been preceded by the Industrial Age & the Agrarian Ages, all of which ushered in advancements for humanity. One section that I might add to this, being in the tech field and specifically an “Internet Plumber”, is the upgrade to the Internet itself that is underway – it is the upgrade from Internet Protocol v4 to Internet Protocol (IP) v6. This is by far and away the single biggest change to the ENTIRE internet since the actual invention of the Internet and its implications are no less.
In short, the internet has grown in ways not conceived by Vint Cerf and Bob Kahn (co-founders of IP) – for the Internet to work, everything communicating upon it must be uniquely recognizable. When first launched, IPv4 had a pool of IP Addresses totaling 4.3 Billion – we’ve run out. With IPv6 we have 340 Undecillion addresses (that is a real number), enough addresses to hand out to every grain of sand on Planet Earth. Now we can connect everything to everyone, everywhere (Internet 2.0 = Evernet) and that will usher in the era of Big Data and so much more we have yet to discover – the fluidity of ideas upon this cohesive platform will only improve and further become enmeshed in our daily lives. While the idea of “internet plumbing” is not quite as sexy as a Facebook IPO – a Facebook IPO would not be possible without rock solid Internet Plumbing, and this plumbing is undergoing its own upgrade to a wholly new version – it is happening right now and provides as large of an investment opportunity as the Internet itself.
Yeah, yeah, yeah – you have heard me talk all day long and post incessently about IPv6 lately – sure, my firm 6connect, is in that business and there are some selfish reasons I think that this is happening, however, there are some very quantifiable, verifiable, and qualitative reasons why we see 2012 as the year of IPv6 Adoption!
- IANA did run out of IPv4 addresses last Feb followed by APNIC – RIPE is due to exhaust their supply of v4 assets in first half of this year followed by ARIN early in ’13 – Geoff Huston of APNIC has maintained a very accurate depletion model found here: http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html
- As an IPAM vendor with expertise in IPv6, we are seeing many companies from ISPs, Hosting, to Enterprise & Govt inquire with us about our IPAM in the context of moving to IPv6 – using that as a proxy, we’ve seen our customer inquiries quadruple over last 30 days and the inquires we’ve seen alone just this week have been some VERY LARGE, global ISPs
- Domestic roll out success of Comcast, led by John Brzozowski, will continue bringing more “home” users online, thus catalyzing more content/SaaS companies to make the swtich (chicken-egg)
- Increasing need for IPs by “non-traditional” IP copmanies such as “smart grid”, “wifi hot spot cars”, and just about everything else being online, the demand for IPs simply will necessitate the need to move to v6
- Guess here – we will see some innovations within IPv6 mgmt that will pull the “geek crowd” over to use it to improve application performance – not sure what exactly that might be, however, there are enough people playing with v6 now, that innovations will soon follow
There is a lot more that will yield a strong year for IPv6 adoption, however, these are some good nuggets to keep an eye on.